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Sunday, September 24

24th Sep - Weekly Support




Here are the links to the weekly roundups, reviews and also previews of the beginning week.



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  LAST WEEK
Weekly Market ReviewZH
VIXtermination Sparks Buying-Panic In Stocks As Yield Curve Crashes To 10 Year Lows

U.S. Weekly Fund Flows ReportLipper Alpha Insight
Funds Suffer Overall Net Outflows Driven by Money Market Funds

Earnings Insight Sep 22Factset

This Week in Earnings 17Q2 | Sep 22 Lipper Alpha

Stoxx 600 Earnings Outlook | Sep 19Lipper Alpha


  NEXT WEEK
EcoWeek BNP Paribas
The EURUSD reacts to news in a very selective way as of late. The relevance of news depends on what it tells us about future central bank policy. The new rate indications (“dots”) of FOMC members raise speculation of a December rate hike.

Hurricane season Hurricane Harvey hit the Gulf Coast of Texas in late August, followed by Irma (Florida) while the trajectory of Maria (beyond Puerto Rico) remains uncertain. As outlined this week by the Fed, “storm-related disruptions and rebuilding […] affect economic activity in the near term, but […] are unlikely to materially alter the course of the national economy over the medium term”. This means that the Fed will mostly disregard late summer data, including plunging industrial production and rebounding prices.

Week Ahead: From voting polls to inflation Nordea
The next ten days will provide an interesting mix of politics and economics. Voting polls are open in Germany and possibly a week later in Catalonia. The hunt for higher inflation continues both in the US and Euro area.

Weekly Focus: Calm markets in a volatile world Danske Bank
German elections and IFO index * EZ inflation and money supply * US PCE inflation * Brexit negotiations and Chinese PMIs

Strategy: Collapsed risk premiums Danske Bank
Risk premiums across asset classes are currently at pre-Lehman Brothers lows * High GDP growth relative to short-term interest rates supports low risk premiums * As US interest rates rise towards the natural rate, financial volatility and risk premiums should rise * This could play out in Q4.

Global Week AheadScotiabank
Canada: Know Your Audience * US: Will The Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauge Follow CPI? *
Asia — Is The RBNZ A Test Case For Political Interference? * Europe: Premature To Sound The All-Clear * Latin America:  Mexican Monetary Policy Approaching A Turning Point

Weekly FX Sentiment ReportScotiabank

Weekly Market OutlookMoody’s
Low Inflation May Suppress Bond Returns

Macro Weekly ABN AMRO
How far can this go? * Confidence indices for the manufacturing sector continue to rise * This is corroborated by trade data in Asia * Fed sticking to its guns, but the inflation conundrum remains

Macro CommentMarc Chandler
Old and New Drivers in the Week Ahead

FX weekly: Is 1.20 the new 1.15?Nordea
Every time EUR/USD has traded at 1.20, we get a leak or a comment from the ECB. Even though this is possibly coincidental it can affect market psychology. Also; next week markets will have to digest at least one more round of Trump vs. Rocket Man.