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Wednesday, January 30

30th Jan - EU Open: US GDP & FOMC Ahead




Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Roundups
News roundup – Between The Hedges
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Emerging Markets Headlines – beyondbrics / FT

MORNING BRIEFINGS
3 Numbers to Watch: EU economic sentiment, US ADP jobs, US Q4 GDPTradingFloor
Another round of modest improvement in Eurozone sentiment is expected, followed by forecasts of decelerating growth for US employment this month and a relatively weak initial estimate of fourth-quarter US GDP in today's follow-up data news.

Market Preview: Eyes on FOMC meeting and US GDP dataTradingFloor
European markets are expected to open higher on Wednesday. Markets are keeping an eye on the US monetary policy meeting and fourth quarter GDP data due later today which is expected to indicate a slower pace of growth.

Danske DailyDanske Bank (pdf)
US stocks continue strong performance despite weak US consumer confidence. Asian stocks rise on strong Korean production and positive sentiment. All eyes on the Fed today. We expect a continued soft tone in the statement.

Wednesday: Q4 GDP, FOMC Announcement, ADP EmploymentCalculated Risk

AamukatsausNordea (pdf)
Pankkisääntelyyn muutoksia * USA:sta ristiriitaista talousdataa * EUR/USD sai tukea USA:n asuntojen hintojen noususta 

AamukatsausTapiola (pdf)
USA:n kuluttajaluottamus heikentyi voimakkaasti, mutta asuntomarkkinoilta odotettuja lukuja. Tänään mielenkiinto USA:n BKT-kasvussa ja FED:n korkokokouksessa. Osakefutuurit nyt aamulla nollassa - indikoiden tasaista avausta pörssiin. Matalatuottoisten kiinteäkorkoisten velkakirjojen riski toteutumassa? Nordealta vahvat luvut, Kesla lievä pettymys kannattavuuden osalta.

MarkkinakalenteriNordnet
MarkkinakalenteriTaloussanomat

EUROPE
All the things Olli saidFistful of Euros
It’s probably a good sign for the influence of the European Parliament that remarks made to it by a European Commissioner can cause a row. So it is with Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn who presented a narrative of Italy’s flirtation with bond market shutdown during October and November 2011 that seemed too favourably disposed to the arrival of Mario Monti as the game-changer

European states are using the example of Greece to justify unpopular domestic reformseuropp / LSE

UNITED STATES
ML Fund Managers Survey - Jan 2013Short Sidde of the Long
Interestingly, despite high risk appetite and overly-bullish growth expectations (especially in China), fund managers allocation towards commodities remains underweight. Furthermore, the survey also reports that managers remain underweight Energy & Materials as well

Deflating the housing bubble – an updateFabius Maximus
Since the first post here about the housing crisis in December 2007, it’s been described here as not just a central piece of the economic weakness but a illustration of our political dysfunctionality — our inability to use a crisis to identify structural weaknesses and generate the pressure for their reform.

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