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Wednesday, August 10

10th Aug Early - After the FED, relief rally


Summary: U.S. stocks’ final reaction to FOMC press statement was a strong up day. Asian stocks followed, but with lot less enthusiasm. CHF continued huge strengthening, while JPY was muted, still scared of the “magic-76” intervention levels.  

“The ECB will disclose its total purchases for the week on Monday, but some analysts estimate the ECB bought at least €3.5 billion ($5 billion) on Monday and billions more Tuesday—however, a small fraction relative to the size of Spain and Italy's debt markets.” Calculated Risk
 
Views: Keep the Brazil short. EURUSD is too happy testing resistance levels instead of support levels. While the range since the beginning of summer is still intact, the price action is warning something is not right in my long term view of eventual breakout to the downside. Keeping out.


EURO CRISIS

“…policy of the ECB has been extremely tight since 2008, measured by the concept of macroeconomic stability and is therefore an important cause of the current mess.”



FOMC - AFTERMATH




FOMC gives a bit more – The Big Picture

FOMC Statement: A prudent no decision – Pragmatic Capitalism


Stealth QE3 is upon us – Economic Musings




Fed’s past policy to adjust the shape of the yield curve did not work, according to… Bernanke!


OTHER

Good list of things to watch out from Saxo Bank


St. Louis Fed has a new Excel add-on to directly download data.
FRED Excels! – Krugman / NYT